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All-Snubbed Maine?

Adam WarnerFriday, July 6, 2007
By Adam Warner

During the offseason amidst the constant bleating about why the Mets hadn't overpaid for some mid-rotation starter, you could always make the case there was no reason a guy like John Maine couldn't put up at least those sorts of numbers. Like the 12-10, 4.00 variety that was worth $10 million/year apparently.

Well, talk about your understatements. How good has Maine been and does he deserve a spot on the All-Star team? I mean obviously he is as good as anyone this season with a 10-4 record and 2.71 ERA, but I do buy the argument that you should extend the sample size. Guys who have done it for at least a full year deserve some credit for that too.

Thanks to BaseballMusings.com, you can go easily go back a full calender year. Here's the screen I used, and here are the notable stats of the All-Star starting pitchers over that stretch.

Chris Young: 12-4, 2.81 ERA, 8.43 K/9, 3.36 BB/9
Jake Peavy: 16-9, 2.86 ERA, 9.32 K/9, 2.94 BB/9
John Smoltz: 20-9, 3.14 ERA, 8.44 K/9, 2.04 BB/9
Roy Oswalt: 16-8, 3.21 ERA, 6.86 K/9 2.23 BB/9
Ben Sheets 15-8, 3.30 ERA, 7.81 K/9, 1.56 BB/9
Cole Hamels 18-8, 3.62 ERA, 9.88 K/9 2.32 BB/9
Brad Penny 16-8, 3.96, 6.74 K/9, 2.78 BB/9, dates Alyssa Milano.

And John Maine?

16-7, 2.99 ERA, 7.17 K/9, 3.23 BB/9

Pretty comparable I would say. Better than Penny, although unless Maine's girlfirend/wife is another one of the Charmed cast, he loses some points there, lol.

The other guys are regarded as pretty much aces, Maine not so much yet, which I guess is what this is really all about. No miscarriage here and he probably gets the benefit of the doubt next time around. So let's hope that comes up.

... like Dave says below, Maine clearly deserves to go ahead of a reliever, particularly Brian Fuentes. Thing is, the silliness of that pick is different. That slot should have gone to Tom Gorzelanny (who has comparable 1 year numbers to the other starters, especially when you consider he plays for a bad team). And he's a lefty, so LaRussa could do his situational subbing he loves so much. And he would have taken up that Pirate slot so the undeserving Freddy Sanchez could have stayed home and (cough)... Jimmy Rollins, (cough) or Hanley Ramirez could have gone.

But in lieu of that, no question, Fuentes has a slot that should be Maine's.

About Adam: I am a professional options trader, and financial writer. I pen the Daily Options Report blog and contribute to numerous other sites.

I'm a 41 year old huge Mets (and football Giants) fan since the mid 70's. I trek out to Shea every Opening Day, and a few other times a year, from the Jersey burbs

I'm a "non-doctrinaire" stats junky. And by that I mean I follow it, but certainly don't swear by it.

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